Gartner has named cloud computing, green IT and social-computing platforms among technologies that are poised to reach broad enterprise adoption in the next two to five years.
The report "Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2008" by Gartner Vice President and Fellow Jackie Fenn and other analysts, also cited video telepresence, which utilizes high-end videoconferencing systems to provide remote conference participants with the feeling that they are in the same room, and microblogging popularized by the Internet application Twitter as being on the brink of widespread adoption among enterprises.
All of these technologies are at the peak of what the report calls their "hype cycle," a term Gartner began using in 1995 to describe the human response to technology -- from overenthusiasm at the beginning, through a period of disillusionment with the technology, to an eventual understanding of the technology's relevance and role in a market or domain.
Gartner uses the hype-cycle assessment to advise IT managers about when they should begin to adopt certain technologies that are getting a lot of attention but whose value to the enterprise is not yet known, according to the report. IT professionals generally have a better understanding of how to implement technologies at the peak of their hype cycle in a few years, once the initial excitement about them dies down.
The impact of technologies that are at the peak of their hype cycle in 2008 will differ depending on the technology, according to the report.
Cloud computing, defined by Gartner as "a style of computing where massively scalable IT-enabled capabilities are delivered 'as a service' to external customers using Internet technologies," in particular should have "transformational impact" on the enterprise, according to the report. This means the technology will change the way the IT industry "looks at user and vendor relationships," Fenn wrote.
"As service provisions (a critical aspect of cloud computing) grow, vendors must become or partner with service providers to deliver their technologies indirectly to users," according to the report. "User organizations will watch portfolios of owned technologies decline as service portfolios grow. The key activity will be to determine which cloud services will be viable, and when."
Companies that are leading the way in the emerging cloud-computing market are Google, Amazon.com, Microsoft and Salesforce.com, according to Gartner.
The impact of green IT will be high but less relevant to organizations than the impact of cloud computing, according to the report. However, organizations may use green IT practices to lessen the impact and acceleration of global climate change, and so could have a more long-term effect on that phenomenon.
Social-computing platforms, microblogging and video telepresence will have only a moderate impact on the enterprise as they begin to be widely adopted, according to the report.
The hype-cycle technologies outlined in the report are following a broader trend in recent years among emerging technologies in which they come of age among consumers first before they reach businesses, Fenn wrote. She cited microblogging, social networking and cloud computing as examples of this trend.
Latest on Application Serving
- Google Apps still trying to win over corporate users
- Adobe AIR soars to loftier heights
- Salesforce links Force.com to Google App Engine
- This software brought to you by Ovaltine
- Google cries foul over coverage of Apps outages
- Microsoft working on App Store-like app distribution
- Oracle buys IP from Tacit to boost Beehive platform
- Google offers Gmail users a window into Calendar and Docs
- Oracle has hiccup in BEA developer site transfer
- Geek Week: Obama gets gamed, Google Apps shamed
Software Essentials
- Ballmer: Yahoo acquisition won't happen
- Sun is a software company, new top shareholder says
- Forecast has Office, Vista going in opposite directions
- Interview with The Pirate Bay founder
- The future of software testing
- Bill Gates predicts software revolution
- 'Warez' software pirate sentenced to probation
- Mobile app development moves beyond CRM, but slowly
- Tibco backing Microsoft Silverlight
- Most top banks already using virtualization
TechWorld Jobs (beta)
Whitepapers
TechWorld Blogs
-

TalkingTech
The view from the top of IT with TechWorld Editor Rodney Gedda
-

Entrenched
Cooking up better code, IDG's developers reveal some of their secrets
-

Broadband Voice
Darren Pauli digs in from the front line of Australia's broadband battleground
Recent blog posts
- Telstra kicked out of NBN process
- Linux on the iPhone won’t change the world - yet
- A Novell approach to business
- An open storage stack? I like the sound of that
- The mobile clone wars: fighting for a better phone experience
- Stopping the "Clean Feed"
- Identifying web platforms
- Clean Feed ‘not technically possible’
- No Clean Feed - well duh!
- Conroy's content cops still on the cards
Recent comments
- video converter os x
9 hours 50 min ago - video converter os x
9 hours 55 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 3 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 3 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 4 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 4 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 10 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 11 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 12 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 14 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 15 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 17 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 19 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 21 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 24 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 25 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 27 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 27 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 28 min ago - video converter os x
10 hours 28 min ago







